IEA: Weak Crude Prices Harming Non-OPEC Oil Investment

by Ship & Bunker News Team
Monday September 14, 2015

Weak oil prices are discouraging conventional oil supply investment in countries not a part of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), leading to a fear that it will affect the flexibility of the markets, Platts reports.

According to the International Energy Agency's (IEA) director for energy markets and security, Keisuke Sadamori, a decline in investment in non-OPEC countries is likely to draw emphasis back to OPEC producers.

"If we see quite a substantial decline in upstream investment in conventional sources in non-OPEC countries, then the power to supply the marginal barrel will go back to the hands of the OPEC producers and they are also facing the extremely difficult unstable geopolitical situation," he said.

"Ensuring the security of supply supported by robust upstream and downstream investments will continue to be the priority and that's going to be a huge challenge in the coming decades."

The current "war" between the oil producers is one that IEA says OPEC is winning, but the cost of defending market share has had a considerable impact on prices, and pushed bunker prices down their lowest in over a decade.

Last week IEA predicted that next year non-OPEC oil production will make the biggest decline in 24 years but it still may not be enough to clear the current oil glut.